The latest in a series of bad polling for Joe Biden shows that while Trump has retained virtually all of his support from the 2020 presidential election, Biden’s has, in a literal sense, been more than decimated.
Steve Kornacki explained “Over the last few days we’ve had four national polls come out showing small leads for Donald Trump. But what’s interesting in those polls is you ask Republicans who they’re supporting in a Trump-Biden match up. In these [three] polls, it’s 91-6, 92-5, 96-4 for Trump - this is Trump’s share with Republicans in general election polling. What did he get among Republicans in 2020? He got 94%. What did he get among Republicans when he won in 2016? He got 92%.... Trump’s support in the general election polls among Republicans really isn’t showing any slack.”
While primary polling showing that a large share of Nikki Haley voters planned on voting for Joe Biden in a general election had led some to believe that this would mean a significant share of Republicans would be voting Democrat this time around, this phenomenon was almost entirely due to Democrats voting in open primaries. In other words, they were never actually voting Republican in the general, even if Haley were the nominee.
Kornacki continued …In the context of what we’re seeing in the general election, the one who has the issue right now with the base is more Biden than Trump.This is from the New York Times poll - they asked folks, ‘Hey, you voted for Trump in 2020. Are you still with Donald Trump?’ 97% of his 2020 voters say they’re still with him. Ask Biden’s 2020 voters ‘Are you still with Biden?’ The number’s 85% there. So at least right now in the general election polling, it’s Trump who’s taking more from Biden’s voters than Biden who’s taking from Trump’s voters.”
